01 October 2020

This Week’s COVID-19 Snapshot

The weekly snapshot provides expert insight on the outbreak and its widespread impact. In this edition, we highlight how the threat from COVID-19 will limit the scale of protests across Indonesia over the disputed omnibus bill. The Philippines to extend emergency powers to support recovery from the spread of the virus and global financial institutions facing risk of increased state-linked cyberattacks in response to the fallout from the global pandemic.

 

01 October 2020 – Indonesia

Predictions:

  • Efforts to pass omnibus bill ahead of parliamentary recess will prompt demonstrations in coming weeks, but COVID-19 will limit scale of protests
  • Government will seek to hasten vote as legislation will boost economic growth amid downturn caused by virus and extended restrictions in capital
  • Trade Union Confederation’s withdrawal of support for 6-8 October national strike will reduce impact of protest, even if some unions participate

 

30 September 2020 – Philippines

Predictions:

  • Extension of emergency powers will aid virus response, while slow economic recovery will see Duterte prioritise ties with China despite UN comments
  • ‘State of calamity’ will facilitate reallocation of resources to combat virus, but mismanagement will continue to delay disbursement of funds
  • Importance of EU trade means Manila will seek to preserve GSP+ status, though Duterte will make little effort to allay human rights concerns

 

28 September 2020 – Global Themes

Predictions:

  • Severe economic impact of COVID-19 will fuel state-linked cybertheft and attacks targeting global banks and financial institutions
  • Most significant threat will come from North Korea, with cybertheft set to remain a major priority for Pyongyang in coming years
  • Criminal groups will capitalise on publicity over attacks against banks, stepping up own operations to secure funds in response

For full assessments request the free weekly COVID-19 roundup here.