27 August 2020

This Week’s COVID-19 Snapshot

The weekly snapshot provides expert insight on the outbreak and its widespread impact. In this edition, we highlight the public health fears in Algeria as small-scale protests resume, the impact of the healthcare workers strike in South Africa, Russian’s vaccine announcement and more.

 

26 August 2020 – Algeria

Predictions:

  • Small-scale rallies point to resumption of Friday protests but ongoing public health fears and COVID-19 restrictions will reduce risk of widespread unrest
  • Government will ease some lockdown measures in coming months to facilitate participation in planned constitutional referendum due on 1 November
  • Concerns over loss of tariff revenues and increase in anti-French sentiment will likely delay next month’s planned adoption of EU free trade agreement

 

25 August 2020 – Indonesia

Predictions:

  • Continued diversion of funds to COVID-19 response will delay efforts to establish new capital, with major construction work unlikely to begin until 2023
  • High daily case numbers in capital will likely force Jakarta governor to extend current restrictions beyond 27 August
  • Government will prioritise securing access to COVID-19 vaccine, but recently signed procurement deals will have no short-term impact on outbreak

 

21 August 2020 – South Africa

Predictions:

  • Threatened health workers’ strike underlines anger at government over PPE scandals but union members will seek to limit potential disruption
  • Threatened protests will likely be sporadic and limited in scope, and will not provoke wider industrial action by other unions
  • Risk of more disruptive public sector protests will rise towards end of year as result of wage disputes and ongoing economic challenges

 

21 August 2020 – Russia

Predictions:

  • Sputnik V vaccine will boost Russia’s international influence despite lack of evidence for medical efficacy
  • Reliance on vaccine roll-out next year suggests containment measures unlikely, meaning Russia’s COVID-19 outbreak will remain widespread in interim
  • Developing countries will seek to cooperate with Russia due to fear they will not receive priority access to vaccines developed by Western countries

For full assessments request the free weekly COVID-19 roundup here.