30 July 2020

This Week’s COVID-19 Snapshot

The weekly snapshot provides expert insight on the outbreak and its widespread impact. In this edition, we highlight China’s significant increase in investment to support economic recovery, cases in Iraq to continue to rise despite government-mandated lockdown over the Eid al-Adha holiday and more.

 

30 July 2020 – China

Predictions:

  • Economic data reflects significant investment boost, but recovery will be slow due to weak demand and new COVID-19 outbreaks
  • Reimposition of localised lockdown measures and increased testing and tracing will likely effectively contain new outbreaks
  • Beijing will balance investment in state-owned enterprises with reforms to attract foreign capital, but barriers to market access will persist

 

29 July 2020 – Iraq

Predictions:

  • COVID-19 cases will continue to rise in coming month despite government announcing complete lockdown over Eid al-Adha holiday
  • Heavy-handed use of security forces’ increased powers to punish lockdown breaches will risk fuelling further anti-government protests
  • Demonstrations in southern, Shia-majority areas will escalate in coming months as COVID-19 adds to existing economic difficulties

 

28 July 2020 -Indonesia

Predictions:

  • New committee to coordinate COVID-19 response will improve centralised policymaking by integrating public health and economic strategies
  • Implementation of policy at local level will remain difficult due to longstanding bureaucratic complexities
  • Epidemic will continue to accelerate, further increasing international media scrutiny over country’s poor handling of COVID-19 crisis

 

28 July 2020 – Philippines

Predictions:

  • Improved contact tracing will gradually help curb COVID-19 epidemic, but cases will continue to rise for now amid refusal to strengthen lockdown
  • Strategies will improve in coming months as new ‘contact tracing czar’ focuses on training and better use of digital tracing and mapping
  • Local lockdowns will become more likely as improved tracking provides clearer information about hotspots, allowing more targeted restrictions

For full assessments request the free weekly COVID-19 roundup here.