13 March 2019

Please see our predictions below:

Predictions:

Bouteflika’s withdrawal from presidential race will divide protesters but will fail to prevent further demonstrations in coming weeks

Likely extension of Bouteflika’s term until at least year end seen as unconstitutional, which will sustain protests despite his agreement not to seek fifth term

Protests unlikely to grow violent but security forces will step in to subdue them and prevent instability should they become significantly more disruptive

Analysis

President Bouteflika withdrew his candidacy for a fifth presidential term on 11 March and cancelled elections scheduled for 18 April. He said the Government would instead arrange a “national…

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