08 May 2019

 

Predictions

Violence during election follows established patterns but underlines security challenges and further isolated incidents are likely until polling ends

Low-level and localised political violence in West Bengal will continue due to intense rivalry between state and federal ruling parties, but will not pose significant operational risks

Occasional large-scale Maoist attacks will persist in insurgent strongholds facilitated by local reluctance to assist authorities with intelligence gathering

Analysis

 

The fifth phase of general election polling on 6 May was marked by incidents of violence in West Bengal, including a clash between supporters of the state-ruling Trinamool Congress (TC) and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Barrackpore in which the BJP candidate was injured. Violence was also reported in Hooghly and Howrah constituencies. Recent weeks have also seen an increase in Maoist violence. On 1 May, fifteen security…..

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