Our aviation and airline clients operate uniquely complex businesses from a geopolitical and security perspective.
Our clients are dependent on critical national infrastructure in destination and transit countries; leveraging global alliances and codeshare partnerships to enable their passenger-facing brands to provide an intercontinental reach; delivering a critical outsourcing service to the dominant global air freight brands; or managing private air travel solutions for the ultra high-net-worth individual (UHNWI) market.
The aviation sector faces a unique combination of dependencies and exposures. Aviation infrastructure can be a focus of disruption in times of rapid political upheaval. Aircraft are a known target for Islamist and other terrorist networks. Overflight routes are vulnerable to conflict or heightened tensions on the ground, often with significant implications for profitability. Commercial freight traffic is vulnerable to trade disputes, environmental regulations, anti-globalisation and economic nationalism. While passenger volumes can be affected by fluctuations in business travel and security-driven decreases in tourism.
Understanding the future growth potential of key geographies is central to strategic business planning. Growth in passenger air travel, driven by expanding middle classes in emerging economies, is a critical strategic dynamic.
We support our clients by:
- Monitoring emerging terrorist tactics and aviation sector targeting
- Geopolitical and security assessment of re-routing decisions
- Political, social, economic and environmental scenarios
- Strategic threat advisory
- Anticipating changes in airport security levels
- Forecasting policy and regulatory change
- Advising on geopolitical risks to fuel price futures
- Assessing physical risks to crew changes in unfamiliar locations