01 November 2019

 

Predictions

  • High-level Party meeting will lead to increased control over government and businesses, but does not indicate successor to President Xi
  • Beijing will seek to increase control over legal and political system in Hong Kong, but will avoid…
  • Economic downturn will prompt Government to further ease foreign…

 

Analysis

President Xi sought to maintain and reinforce Communist Party oversight over all aspects of governance, the economy, and society at the high-level Fourth Plenum meeting held in Beijing from 28-31 October. The meeting, which comprised around 200 of the most senior Party members, focused on Beijing’s growing concerns over risks to domestic stability, including from the US-China trade war and ongoing unrest in Hong Kong. The official statement issued after the meeting also reiterated Xi’s view that the best way to prevent instability is to tighten Party control (see our 1 February Report). This was the first such meeting since March last year, where President Xi announced a major government restructuring, the removal of presidential term limits, and the high-profile appointment of Wang Qishan as Vice President.

This strong policy continuity was underlined by the fact that despite the twenty-month gap since…
 

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