27 February 2018

Please see our predictions below:

Predictions

Downing of Indian fighter plane raises tensions and will prompt localised clashes in Kashmir but both sides will work to avoid direct conflict

Indian authorities will significantly increase security presence in Kashmir and will boost security measures in major cities leading to disruption for travellers

Pakistan military may take symbolic steps to target militants operating on its soil in coming months but sporadic attacks and unrest will continue over longer term

Analysis

Pakistan claimed to have shot down two Indian fighter jets on 27 February, one of which it said was downed in Pakistani territory allowing it to capture the plane’s pilots. Pakistani officials said….

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