14 May 2019

 

Predictions

  • Treason charges against Prabowo allies aimed at discrediting presidential challenger will fail to prevent further electoral protests in coming weeks
  • Prabowo unlikely to concede defeat, meaning demonstrations will intensify when official results are announced, but unrest will remain largely peaceful
  • Strong support for Jokowi means protests unlikely to overturn results, meaning a sustained protest movement over coming months is unlikely

Analysis

The Police arrested an individual who had threatened to behead President Joko Widodo (“Jokowi”) in a social media video in support of Presidential challenger Prabowo Subianto, on 12 May. This followed police statements on 9 May that two Prabowo supporters, namely former…

 

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