09 July 2019 Predictions Islamic State (IS) attacks in Tunisia reflect country’s importance as source of jihadist recruits, ensuring…
Yemen – UAE troop movements do not constitute withdrawal and could increase risk of violence outside Houthi-controlled areas
05 July 2019 Predictions UAE troop movements do not constitute withdrawal and could increase risk of violence outside Houthi-controlled…
Saudi Arabia – Western firms will face domestic pressure over Saudi ties, but international community will remain unwilling to downgrade relations with Riyadh
05 July 2019 Predictions Western firms will face domestic pressure over Saudi ties, but international community will remain unwilling…
Qatar – Increased investment will secure economic ties with Pakistan but will not undermine Saudi Arabia’s rival influence on Islamabad
05 July 2019 Predictions Increased investment will secure economic ties with Pakistan but will not undermine Saudi Arabia’s rival…
China – Occupation of Hong Kong Legislative Council building will likely reduce appetite for further large-scale protests in coming weeks
04 July 2019 Predictions Occupation of Hong Kong Legislative Council building will likely reduce appetite for further large-scale protests…
Indonesia – 3 July 2019 President-elect will seek meeting with challenger following court’s confirmation of electoral results but deal regarding cabinet formation unlikely
03 July 2019 Predictions President-elect will seek meeting with challenger following court’s confirmation of electoral results but deal regarding…
Russia – EU will remain committed to upholding Russia economic sanctions in coming year, despite reinstatement of PACE voting rights
28 June 2019 Predictions EU will remain committed to upholding Russia economic sanctions in coming year, despite reinstatement of…
Turkey – Ruling party’s defeat in re-run of Istanbul mayoral vote will increase pressure on President to reform party and limit risk of damaging split
26 June 2019 Predictions Ruling party’s defeat in re-run of Istanbul mayoral vote will increase pressure on President to…
China – Upcoming Trump-Xi meeting will likely lead to renewed trade talks, but substantial agreement unlikely this year
24 June 2019 Predictions Upcoming Trump-Xi meeting will likely lead to renewed trade talks, but substantial agreement unlikely this…
Saudi Arabia – UN report on Khashoggi murder will temporarily heighten international scrutiny but Riyadh will face no significant punitive measures
21 June 2019 Predictions UN report on Khashoggi murder will temporarily heighten international scrutiny but Riyadh will face no…
