10 May 2019 Predictions Latest video by al-Qaeda’s leader will fail to significantly boost defections from Islamic State despite collapse…
India : Violence during election follows established patterns but underlines security challenges and further isolated incidents are likely until polling ends
08 May 2019 Predictions Violence during election follows established patterns but underlines security challenges and further isolated incidents are…
Venezuela – Special Report: Opposition calls for military uprising against Maduro will prompt forceful Government response in next 24-48 hours
30 April 2019 Predictions Opposition calls for military uprising against Maduro will prompt forceful Government response in next 24-48 hours…
Special Report: Video of Islamic State leader confirms strategic shift to insurgency and will help group maintain international support despite loss of caliphate territories
01 May 2019 Predictions Video of Islamic State leader confirms strategic shift to insurgency and will help group maintain international…
Sudan – Military will seek to offer minimal concessions to end protests but sustained demonstrations and tensions within ruling council will raise risk of clashes
16 April 2019 Predictions Military will seek to offer minimal concessions to end protests but sustained demonstrations and tensions within…
Turkey – Erdogan remains popular despite loss of key cities in local polls, and dominance will only be threatened by longer term opposition coordination
03 April 2019 Predictions Erdogan remains popular despite loss of key cities in local polls, and dominance will only be…
Philippines – International Criminal Court complaint against China will not damage bilateral relations, particularly amid ongoing probe into Duterte’s drugs war
28 March 2019 Predictions International Criminal Court (ICC) complaint against China will not damage bilateral relations, particularly amid ongoing probe…
Saudi Arabia EU states’ rejection of financial blacklist will ensure European firms retain access to Vision 2030 investment opportunities
Saudi Arabia EU states’ rejection of financial blacklist will ensure European firms retain access to Vision 2030 investment opportunities ANALYSIS…
UAE – EU decision to name UAE as tax haven will prompt limited reform but Emirates will maintain favourable environment for international business
15 March 2019 Please see our predictions below: Predictions: EU decision to name UAE as tax haven will prompt limited…
Algeria – Bouteflika’s withdrawal from presidential race will divide protesters but will fail to prevent further demonstrations in coming weeks
13 March 2019 Please see our predictions below: Predictions: Bouteflika’s withdrawal from presidential race will divide protesters but will fail…
