07 February 2019

Please see our Predictions below:

Predictions

Criminal gangs will respond to government campaign against fuel theft with increased violence, directed mostly against security forces

Government remains reluctant to pursue criminal gang leaders or corrupt companies, which will limit overall effectiveness of current policy

Anti-fuel theft policy will continue to cause disruption to public, increasing prospect that Government will eventually scale back its programme

Analysis

Residents in Villagran, a town in Guanajuato State, set fire to vehicles, burned tyres and blocked a highway on 29 January in order to sabotage a military operation targeting a criminal gang who were in possession of stolen fuel. The following day,…Request the full report here.