06 September 2019

Predictions

  • Rohingya refugees will remain reluctant to return to Myanmar over coming months despite continued discussions with Bangladesh
  • UN will continue to pressure foreign firms to review Myanmar ties but Chinese firms will exploit this to expand their own commercial influence
  • Military will remain committed to extreme policies towards Rohingya, despite criticisms from international rights groups

Analysis

The Government approved the return of 3,454 Rohingya refugees to Myanmar from a list of 20,000 provided by Bangladesh beginning on 22 August, although no refugees agreed to do so. On the same day, the UN released a report detailing the extent of sexual violence committed by soldiers against Rohingya women and girls in 2017, claiming it was an indication of the military’s genocidal intent to destroy the mainly Muslim ethnic minority. Meanwhile, Fortify Rights, a human rights group, reported on 3 September that the Government is forcing the Rohingya to accept National Verification Cards, effectively…

 

Request the full Assynt Report here.