15 May 2019

 

Predictions

  • Expanded military operations unlikely to slow growth of banditry and kidnapping in North-West region over coming year
  • Armed banditry in Zamfara State will likely continue to spread to neighbouring states in North-West and North-Central regions
  • Rise in violence will remain confined to rural areas, ensuring risk to key economic hubs including Lagos, Abuja and Kano City, remains minimal

Analysis

The Army’s Chief of Staff said on 3 May that the scope of the Exercise Harbin Kunama III military operation – which seeks to address rising banditry in the North-West region – would be expanded. No details have been made public, but the expansion will…

 

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