26 July 2019

 

Predictions

  • Prime Minister’s meeting with Trump marks improvement in relations with Washington but will not lead to reinstatement of security aid
  • Islamabad will seek to demonstrate willingness to tackle terrorism funding in coming months in order to avoid inclusion on FATF blacklist
  • Trump’s offer to mediate Kashmir crisis will prompt increased security presence in Indian-controlled Kashmir raising risk of clashes in coming weeks

Analysis

The White House meeting comes at a time when US-Pakistan relations are strained. Trump stopped annual security payments to the Pakistani military, worth over USD 1 billion, in January 2018 and, in a Twitter spat with Khan, publicly accused Pakistan of sheltering terrorist organisations. However, the US needs Pakistan’s cooperation in the Afghanistan…

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