08 March 2019

Please see our predictions below:

Predictions

  • Draft internet bill will likely undergo series of revisions to address operators’ concerns, although protests against proposed legislation will continue
  • Kremlin will plausibly design law to allow authorities to disrupt communications in event of increased unrest in coming years over falling living standards
  • Bill revisions and testing phases will delay implementation of legislation, meaning operators will not likely face disruption or additional costs in immediate term

Analysis

Moscow’s local government issued a permit on 1 March for a rally of up to 10,000 people that will take place on 10 March to protest against the Kremlin’s proposed new law mandating a “sovereign” internet. The draft bill, which…

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