21 June 2019

 

Predictions

  • UN report on Khashoggi murder will temporarily heighten international scrutiny but Riyadh will face no significant punitive measures
  • Western nations will be unwilling to sanction Saudi Arabia in line with report as tensions between US and Iran mean they require cooperation from Riyadh
  • Riyadh will take steps to highlight own investigation into Khashoggi killing in order to appease Western concerns and improve image

Analysis

The UN published the results of its investigation into the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi on 19 June, following a six-month-long investigation. The report concluded that there was “credible evidence” of the involvement of high-level Saudi officials, including Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) although there was no “smoking gun” to link the Crown Prince directly to the killing. In addition, the report said that investigations into the killing conducted by Saudi Arabia and Turkey failed to meet international standards, and further that the Saudi investigation was not…

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