23 October 2019

 

Predictions

  • Deal to secure Syrian buffer zone will provide political boost to President, but will fuel threat of Kurdish militant attacks
  • Agreement with Russia will obviate need for further major…
  • Limited area of Turkish control under terms of deal will…

 

Analysis

President Erdogan reached a deal with Russian President Putin in Sochi on 22 October to establish a buffer zone along Syria’s north-eastern border with Turkey. The deal will allow Ankara to retain control of a zone 32 km deep between Tal Abyad and Ras al Ain. Meanwhile, Russian troops and Syrian Government forces will facilitate a withdrawal of Kurdish People’s Protection Unit (YPG) troops from a 30 km zone along the rest of the border in the 150 hours following 23 October. Joint Russian-Turkish patrols will then be held along…

 

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