30 April 2019

Predictions

  • Opposition calls for military uprising against Maduro will prompt forceful Government response in next 24-48 hours
  • Maduro will view opposition’s move as extremely serious threat to his hold on power, and will move rapidly to prevent possible military defections
  • Resulting rise in political tensions will lead to significant and likely lethal clashes between pro-government and opposition forces in Caracas during coming days

Analysis

Juan Guaido, Chair of Venezuela’s opposition-controlled legislature and self-proclaimed Head of State, began a renewed initiative to mobilise protests against de-facto President Nicolas Maduro…

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