17 May 2019

 

Predictions

  • Clashes around Hodeidah will continue despite partial Houthi withdrawal, and could intensify if coalition forces fail to adhere to agreement
  • Houthis will remain reluctant to relinquish control fully, while pro-government forces are unlikely to withdraw from outskirts in coming weeks
  • Houthis could reoccupy port if coalition forces refuse to withdraw, increasing potential for larger clashes

Analysis

Houthi rebels began a partial withdrawal from the three Red Sea ports of Hodeidah, Saif and Ras Issa on 11 May, which the UN confirmed three days later had been carried out “partly as agreed” under the agreement reached in Stockholm in December. The Houthis have reportedly handed control of the ports to “local coastguards”, though the Minister of Information claimed the rebels had simply transferred control to Houthi troops in different uniforms.  The UN’s Redeployment Coordination Committee said work was still needed to…

 

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